While not an impossible hurdle to overcome, the hardest aspect of Capitalism is to inject some notion of long term planning to counter balance desire for short term profits. A Wired interview with Lester R. Brown, the author of Plan B, digs into some of this tension. Brown’s life work is devoted to raising awareness about the fragility of our ecosystem to captains of industry and policy makers. The following quotation speaks volumes about our blindness to truth:
There’s a quote by Oystein Dahle close to a decade ago now, after the collapse of the Soviet Union. He was for many years Exxon’s vice president for Norway and the North Sea. He said, “Socialism collapsed because it did not allow the market to tell the economic truth. Capitalism may collapse because it does not allow the market to tell the ecological truth.” That’s a lot of wisdom distilled into those two sentences.
Socialist nations, truth be told, have not had a good record on ecology either, but they generally acknowledged the failure. Intelligent people can, and will, disagree about the meaning of global warming, ozone depletion, acid rain and a variety of unsettling signposts, but our inability to craft policy to err on the side of caution is our poverty of imagination — we fail to perceive the world as it might be if nothing changes, or worse yet we consume ourselves with the present at the expense of the future.
But many bright people see it another way. The future always works itself out. They point to population explosion worry-worts and explain how the census is leveling off before war, famine and disease do the job for us. Concerned social scientists in the early 20th century predicted that America would be thigh-deep in horse manure if we didn’t restrict horse-driven transportation. Today ecologically minded persons worry about carbon dioxide emissions for the auto, which made the manure epidemic a non-issue. Maybe we will reconfigure our lifestyles before it gets too bad.
But then again, maybe there is a tipping point when we exceed the Earth’s carrying capacity after decades of expedient decisions. Caution will cost us profits today and may well make no difference in the outcome — we have no guarantees and no crystal balls. Some advocates of restraining measures, such as the Kyoto Protocol, advance them only because they bridle industry, but the majority accept restrictions on industry as necessary to achieve the long view. Left to its own, Capitalism is incapable of honestly confronting the damage it may cause for future generations.
Update 11-April-2006: A new film, curiously titled An Inconvenient Truth, will debut this Summer and features former Vice-President Al Gore.
Update 18-April-2006: After sharing this essay, Warren Meyer shared a family story to illustrate the 19th century worries over the horse population, mentioned earlier.